Guiseley vs Morpeth Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guiseley v Morpeth Town — Team-Based Signals
Guiseley vs Morpeth Town Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Guiseley
İNGNLP
1-0
HT 0-0
Morpeth Town
İNGNLP
1-3
HT 1-0
Guiseley
İNGNLP
Guiseley 3-3 Morpeth Town — Actual Match Statistics
Guiseley and Morpeth Town couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Guiseley at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (59%) came in.
On the day, Guiseley had 59% of the ball to Morpeth Town's 41%, shots finished 9-8.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Guiseley had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Guiseley and 0.75 for Morpeth Town.
What was the final score of Guiseley vs Morpeth Town?
Guiseley 3-3 Morpeth Town in the England - Non League Premier on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guiseley vs Morpeth Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Guiseley win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Guiseley 59%, draw 20%, Morpeth Town 21%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Guiseley) went the other way.