Gainsborough Trinity 0-3 Basford United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 17 Sep 2024

📅17/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.03
Over 2.5
43%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.63
No
56%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-0.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
45%
+11.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
55%
-11.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
57%
-13.2pp
56%
BTTS No
43%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Basford United EU Bookmakers 31%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.47/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.57
-10% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Basford United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 3-0 HT 1-0 Basford United Basford United İNGNLP
30.09.2023 Basford United Basford United 3-0 HT 3-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
15.01.2022 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 1-0 HT 0-0 Basford United Basford United İNGNLP
14.09.2021 Basford United Basford United 2-0 HT 1-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
0-3
AWAY Basford United
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gainsborough Trinity vs Basford United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basford United cruised past Gainsborough Trinity 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Gainsborough Trinity at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Gainsborough Trinity had 59% of the ball to Basford United's 41%, shots finished 14-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gainsborough Trinity and 1.25 for Basford United.

What was the final score of Gainsborough Trinity vs Basford United?

Gainsborough Trinity 0-3 Basford United in the England - Non League Premier on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainsborough Trinity vs Basford United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gainsborough Trinity win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gainsborough Trinity 46%, draw 26%, Basford United 27%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
17 Sep 2024
21:45 Hebburn Town vs Whitby Town Analysis →
21:45 United of Manchester vs Macclesfield Analysis →
21:45 Mickleover Sports vs Worksop Town Analysis →
21:45 Workington vs Bamber Bridge Analysis →
21:45 Ashton United vs Matlock Town Analysis →
21:45 Guiseley vs Morpeth Town Analysis →