Gainsborough Trinity 3-0 Basford United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-8.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Basford United EU Bookmakers 28%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.62/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.54
-9% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Basford United
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
30.09.2023 Basford United Basford United 3-0 HT 3-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
15.01.2022 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 1-0 HT 0-0 Basford United Basford United İNGNLP
14.09.2021 Basford United Basford United 2-0 HT 1-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
3-0
AWAY Basford United
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gainsborough Trinity vs Basford United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainsborough Trinity ran out comfortable winners over Basford United 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gainsborough Trinity as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Gainsborough Trinity had 46% of the ball to Basford United's 54%, shots finished 8-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Basford United led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Gainsborough Trinity and 1.67 for Basford United.

What was the final score of Gainsborough Trinity vs Basford United?

Gainsborough Trinity 3-0 Basford United in the England - Non League Premier on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainsborough Trinity vs Basford United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gainsborough Trinity win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gainsborough Trinity 43%, draw 26%, Basford United 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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