Bradford Park Avenue 1-1 Ashton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 17 Feb 2024

Bradford Park Avenue
1-1
Ashton United
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2023/2024

Bradford Park Avenue vs Ashton United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
36%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.0pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.0pp
36%
Away Win
45%
-9.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.0pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bradford Park Avenue v Ashton United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bradford Park Avenue EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Ashton United EU Bookmakers 49%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.25/2.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.95
-13% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +42%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7

Bradford Park Avenue vs Ashton United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bradford Park Avenue
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ashton United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.09.2023 Ashton United Ashton United 2-1 HT 2-1 Bradford Park Avenue Bradford Park Avenue İNGNLP

Bradford Park Avenue 1-1 Ashton United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bradford Park Avenue
1-1
AWAY Ashton United
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bradford Park Avenue vs Ashton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bradford Park Avenue and Ashton United shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bradford Park Avenue had 58% of the ball to Ashton United's 42%, shots finished 13-11.

What was the final score of Bradford Park Avenue vs Ashton United?

Bradford Park Avenue 1-1 Ashton United in the England - Non League Premier on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bradford Park Avenue vs Ashton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bradford Park Avenue win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Bradford Park Avenue 36%, draw 28%, Ashton United 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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