Lancaster City 1-1 Workington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 17 Feb 2024

Lancaster City
1-1
Workington
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2023/2024

Lancaster City vs Workington Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
22%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
47%
+3.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
22%
Away Win
28%
-6.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.6pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lancaster City v Workington — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lancaster City EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Workington EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.20/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.63
-29% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
320 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 0.5

Lancaster City vs Workington Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lancaster City
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Workington
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.09.2023 Workington Workington 2-1 HT 1-0 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Lancaster City vs Workington
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lancaster City and Workington shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Lancaster City at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Lancaster City vs Workington?

Lancaster City 1-1 Workington in the England - Non League Premier on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lancaster City vs Workington?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lancaster City win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Lancaster City 51%, draw 27%, Workington 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lancaster City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lancaster City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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