Gosport Borough 1-1 Salisbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-3.7pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.1pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gosport Borough EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Salisbury EU Bookmakers 40%
+12% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.52/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.31
-4% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
289 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gosport Borough
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Salisbury
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
14.10.2023 Salisbury Salisbury 2-0 HT 0-0 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough İNGNLP
07.10.2023 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough 2-2 Salisbury Salisbury FAK
11.03.2023 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough 0-0 HT 0-0 Salisbury Salisbury İNGNLP
31.01.2023 Salisbury Salisbury 1-3 HT 0-1 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough İNGNLP
18.04.2022 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough 1-0 HT 1-0 Salisbury Salisbury İNGNLP
01.01.2022 Salisbury Salisbury 0-5 HT 0-2 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gosport Borough
1-1
AWAY Salisbury
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Gosport Borough vs Salisbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gosport Borough and Salisbury shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Gosport Borough had 53% of the ball to Salisbury's 47%, shots finished 7-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gosport Borough had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Gosport Borough and 0.83 for Salisbury.

What was the final score of Gosport Borough vs Salisbury?

Gosport Borough 1-1 Salisbury in the England - Non League Premier on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gosport Borough vs Salisbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gosport Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Gosport Borough 35%, draw 31%, Salisbury 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/31/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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