Union La Calera 4-0 Union Espanola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 18 Feb 2025

📅18/02/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
40%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
40%
Away Win
35%
+5.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.6pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Espanola EU Bookmakers 38%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +7%
1.27/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.50
+6% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
16.5 Crosses 20.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union La Calera
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Union Espanola
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.93 xG 1.42
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
276 Passes 424
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Union La Calera Union La Calera 0-2 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
08.06.2024 Union Espanola Union Espanola 0-1 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
25.11.2023 Union La Calera Union La Calera 4-0 HT 3-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
10.05.2023 Union Espanola Union Espanola 3-2 HT 2-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
07.11.2022 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-1 HT 2-1 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
30.05.2022 Union Espanola Union Espanola 1-1 HT 0-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union La Calera
4-0
AWAY Union Espanola
2.23 xG 0.78
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 4
343 Passes 352
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Union La Calera vs Union Espanola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union La Calera ran out comfortable winners over Union Espanola 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Union La Calera made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Union La Calera had 49% of the ball to Union Espanola's 51%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 2.23 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union La Calera had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Union La Calera and 1.17 for Union Espanola.

What was the final score of Union La Calera vs Union Espanola?

Union La Calera 4-0 Union Espanola in the Chile - Premier League on 18/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union La Calera vs Union Espanola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Espanola win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Union La Calera 34%, draw 26%, Union Espanola 40%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Union Espanola), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Espanola) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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