U. Catolica 3-1 Audax Italiano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 18 Feb 2025

📅18/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Audax Italiano EU Bookmakers 33%
-10% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.25/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.22
+15% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 72%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
18.7 Crosses 14.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME U. Catolica
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Audax Italiano
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.39 xG 1.17
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
365 Passes 187
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.08.2024 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 2-1 HT 0-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
18.03.2024 U. Catolica 0-0 HT 0-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
06.08.2023 U. Catolica 0-2 HT 0-2 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
19.02.2023 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 1-2 HT 1-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
01.11.2022 U. Catolica 0-0 HT 0-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
21.08.2022 U. Catolica 3-0 HT 2-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİLİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME U. Catolica
3-1
AWAY Audax Italiano
1.70 xG 1.51
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
265 Passes 178
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
14 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH U. Catolica vs Audax Italiano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

U. Catolica got the better of Audax Italiano 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had U. Catolica as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, U. Catolica had 57% of the ball to Audax Italiano's 43%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.70 to 1.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for U. Catolica and 0.83 for Audax Italiano.

What was the final score of U. Catolica vs Audax Italiano?

U. Catolica 3-1 Audax Italiano in the Chile - Premier League on 18/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for U. Catolica vs Audax Italiano?

Before kick-off our model rated a U. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split U. Catolica 41%, draw 27%, Audax Italiano 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (U. Catolica) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (U. Catolica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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