San Martin Tucuman 1-0 Ferro Carril Oeste — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 18 Feb 2025

📅18/02/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
36%
2.83
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
Over 2.5
31%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.4
No
66%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.0pp
36%
Draw
32%
+3.8pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.2pp
34%
BTTS Yes
38%
-3.4pp
66%
BTTS No
62%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Martin Tucuman EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 25%
+3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +24%
1.37/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.07
+12% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Martin Tucuman
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
2 Total Shots 6
3 Corners 10
19.02.2024 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 1-2 HT 1-1 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
16.04.2022 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 1-4 HT 1-3 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
30.11.2021 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 0-1 HT 0-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Martin Tucuman vs Ferro Carril Oeste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin Tucuman edged past Ferro Carril Oeste 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (41% / 36% / 23%) promised a tight game; San Martin Tucuman found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (66%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, San Martin Tucuman had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for San Martin Tucuman and 1.00 for Ferro Carril Oeste.

What was the final score of San Martin Tucuman vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

San Martin Tucuman 1-0 Ferro Carril Oeste in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 18/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Martin Tucuman vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Martin Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split San Martin Tucuman 41%, draw 36%, Ferro Carril Oeste 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Martin Tucuman), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Martin Tucuman) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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