San Martin Tucuman 1-2 Ferro Carril Oeste — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 19 Feb 2024

📅19/02/2024 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.44
Over 2.5
40%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.44
No
55%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-4.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.8pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
66%
-5.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
34%
+5.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
37%
+8.1pp
55%
BTTS No
63%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Martin Tucuman EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
1.21/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.12
-9% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
435 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Martin Tucuman
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
16.04.2022 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 1-4 HT 1-3 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
30.11.2021 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 0-1 HT 0-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Martin Tucuman
1-2
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste
49% Ball Possession 51%
2 Total Shots 6
3 Corners 10
POST-MATCH San Martin Tucuman vs Ferro Carril Oeste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferro Carril Oeste squeezed past San Martin Tucuman 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was San Martin Tucuman at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, San Martin Tucuman had 49% of the ball to Ferro Carril Oeste's 51%, shots finished 2-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, San Martin Tucuman had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for San Martin Tucuman and 0.50 for Ferro Carril Oeste.

What was the final score of San Martin Tucuman vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

San Martin Tucuman 1-2 Ferro Carril Oeste in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Martin Tucuman vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Martin Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split San Martin Tucuman 45%, draw 30%, Ferro Carril Oeste 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (San Martin Tucuman) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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