Club Atletico Mitre 1-0 Deportivo Madryn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 19 Feb 2024

📅19/02/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
77%
1.45
Over 2.5
23%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
28%
2.19
No
72%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
48%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.6pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.3pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.4pp
77%
Under 2.5
65%
+11.4pp
23%
Over 2.5
35%
-11.4pp
28%
BTTS Yes
42%
-13.2pp
72%
BTTS No
58%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Atletico Mitre EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Madryn EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +0%
1.09/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.02
-17% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
298 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Atletico Mitre
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Madryn
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
15.10.2023 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 0-2 HT 0-1 Club Atletico Mitre Club Atletico Mitre ARJPBN
05.06.2023 Club Atletico Mitre Club Atletico Mitre 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJPBN
25.09.2022 Club Atletico Mitre Club Atletico Mitre 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Atletico Mitre
1-0
AWAY Deportivo Madryn
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Club Atletico Mitre vs Deportivo Madryn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Atletico Mitre nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Madryn 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Club Atletico Mitre as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (77%), no to both teams scoring (72%) came in.

On the day, Club Atletico Mitre had 52% of the ball to Deportivo Madryn's 48%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Club Atletico Mitre had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Club Atletico Mitre and 0.00 for Deportivo Madryn.

What was the final score of Club Atletico Mitre vs Deportivo Madryn?

Club Atletico Mitre 1-0 Deportivo Madryn in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Atletico Mitre vs Deportivo Madryn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Atletico Mitre win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Club Atletico Mitre 41%, draw 33%, Deportivo Madryn 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Atletico Mitre), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Club Atletico Mitre) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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