Platense 1-1 Independiente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 18 Feb 2025

📅18/02/2025 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
29%
2.66
Away
43%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.28
Over 2.5
32%
3.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.53
No
69%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.65
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
13%
8.34
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.51
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
10%
16.55
X/1
8%
6.06
X/2
16%
4.75
X/X
16%
2.88
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.83
2/X
4%
16.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-1.2pp
29%
Draw
34%
-4.6pp
43%
Away Win
37%
+5.7pp
68%
Under 2.5
75%
-6.9pp
32%
Over 2.5
25%
+6.9pp
31%
BTTS Yes
36%
-4.4pp
69%
BTTS No
64%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Platense EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +13%
1.03/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.04
-9% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +13%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
260 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 75%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
22.0 Crosses 17.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Platense
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Independiente
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.06 xG 1.03
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
175 Passes 430
64% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Platense Platense 0-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
05.02.2023 Independiente Independiente 1-2 HT 0-1 Platense Platense ARJ
05.07.2022 Independiente Independiente 1-3 HT 1-1 Platense Platense ARJ
01.08.2021 Platense Platense 1-1 HT 1-1 Independiente Independiente ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Platense
1-1
AWAY Independiente
0.45 xG 0.74
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 1
185 Passes 282
64% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 9
36 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Platense vs Independiente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Platense and Independiente couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Independiente at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (69%) missed.

On the day, Platense had 45% of the ball to Independiente's 55%, shots finished 8-4, expected goals 0.45 to 0.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Platense had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Platense and 0.75 for Independiente.

What was the final score of Platense vs Independiente?

Platense 1-1 Independiente in the Argentina - Premier League on 18/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Platense vs Independiente?

Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Platense 28%, draw 29%, Independiente 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Independiente), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Independiente) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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