Instituto Cordoba 0-1 San Lorenzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 18 Feb 2025

📅18/02/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
31%
2.7
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.33
Over 2.5
31%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.51
No
67%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
1.7
2-3 Goals
35%
1.86
4-5 Goals
15%
7.73
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.63
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.7
X/1
16%
4.65
X/2
13%
6.29
X/X
16%
2.98
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
14%
5.7
2/X
7%
16.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-2.8pp
31%
Draw
34%
-3.0pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.7pp
69%
Under 2.5
72%
-3.1pp
31%
Over 2.5
28%
+3.1pp
33%
BTTS Yes
36%
-2.2pp
67%
BTTS No
64%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Instituto Cordoba EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +14%
1.23/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.95
+0% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +57%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
21.9 Crosses 15.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Instituto Cordoba
2W-1D-2L
AWAY San Lorenzo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.35 xG 1.56
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
245 Passes 227
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 2-0 HT 1-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
20.05.2023 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 2-0 HT 0-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
05.03.2006 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-1 HT 0-1 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
26.09.2005 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 2-0 HT 2-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
20.10.2004 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 2-0 HT 2-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Instituto Cordoba
0-1
AWAY San Lorenzo
0.60 xG 1.82
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 8
0 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 1
237 Passes 100
68% Pass Accuracy 56%
17 Box Touches 11
27 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Instituto Cordoba vs San Lorenzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Lorenzo nicked a narrow win over Instituto Cordoba 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day San Lorenzo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (67%) came in.

On the day, Instituto Cordoba had 67% of the ball to San Lorenzo's 33%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.60 to 1.82 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold San Lorenzo's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Instituto Cordoba and 1.00 for San Lorenzo.

What was the final score of Instituto Cordoba vs San Lorenzo?

Instituto Cordoba 0-1 San Lorenzo in the Argentina - Premier League on 18/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Instituto Cordoba vs San Lorenzo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Instituto Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Instituto Cordoba 36%, draw 31%, San Lorenzo 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Instituto Cordoba) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Instituto Cordoba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJ More Argentina - Premier League
18 Feb 2025
01:15 Platense vs Independiente Analysis →
03:30 Velez Sarsfield vs Godoy Cruz Analysis →