Zrinski Jurjevac 1-3 HNK Cibalia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 18 Feb 2025

📅18/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
43%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
7%
X/2
24%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+3.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-4.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.3pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zrinski Jurjevac EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 51%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-37% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zrinski Jurjevac
2W-0D-1L
AWAY HNK Cibalia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 5-0 HT 1-0 Zrinski Jurjevac HIR2
29.03.2024 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 1-2 HT 1-0 Zrinski Jurjevac HIR2
17.02.2024 Zrinski Jurjevac 2-0 HT 1-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zrinski Jurjevac
1-3
AWAY HNK Cibalia
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zrinski Jurjevac vs HNK Cibalia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HNK Cibalia got the better of Zrinski Jurjevac 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had HNK Cibalia as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zrinski Jurjevac had 49% of the ball to HNK Cibalia's 51%, shots finished 6-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Zrinski Jurjevac had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Zrinski Jurjevac and 2.00 for HNK Cibalia.

What was the final score of Zrinski Jurjevac vs HNK Cibalia?

Zrinski Jurjevac 1-3 HNK Cibalia in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 18/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zrinski Jurjevac vs HNK Cibalia?

Before kick-off our model rated an HNK Cibalia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Zrinski Jurjevac 29%, draw 28%, HNK Cibalia 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HNK Cibalia) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (HNK Cibalia) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →