Envigado 0-1 Deportivo Pasto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 18 Feb 2025

📅18/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.5pp
33%
Draw
33%
+0.2pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.5pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Envigado EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.05/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.84
+11% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
13.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
11.5 Crosses 15.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Envigado
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Pasto
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.96 xG 1.21
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
271 Passes 295
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.10.2024 Envigado Envigado 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
13.02.2024 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 0-1 HT 0-1 Envigado Envigado KOL
08.11.2023 Envigado Envigado 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
14.07.2022 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 4-0 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
26.01.2022 Envigado Envigado 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
23.08.2021 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 0-2 HT 0-1 Envigado Envigado KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Envigado
0-1
AWAY Deportivo Pasto
0.51 xG 0.67
67% Ball Possession 33%
13 Total Shots 15
0 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
449 Passes 194
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
8 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Envigado vs Deportivo Pasto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pasto squeezed past Envigado 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 33% / 37% — and on the day Deportivo Pasto made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Envigado had 67% of the ball to Deportivo Pasto's 33%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 0.51 to 0.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Envigado had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Envigado and 1.00 for Deportivo Pasto.

What was the final score of Envigado vs Deportivo Pasto?

Envigado 0-1 Deportivo Pasto in the Colombia - Primera on 18/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Envigado vs Deportivo Pasto?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Envigado 30%, draw 33%, Deportivo Pasto 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Pasto), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOL More Colombia - Primera
18 Feb 2025
04:10 Fortaleza CEIF vs Aguilas Doradas Analysis →