Al Faisaly 2-2 Abha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 18 Feb 2025

📅18/02/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-4.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.3pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Faisaly EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Abha EU Bookmakers 36%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
0.90/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.31/1.72
-29% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -71% / -34%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Faisaly
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Abha
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.00 xG 1.20
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 Passes 298
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2024 Abha Abha 3-1 HT 2-1 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD1
06.05.2022 Abha Abha 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD
04.11.2021 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 1-0 HT 1-0 Abha Abha SUUD
14.05.2021 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 2-1 HT 0-0 Abha Abha SUUD
07.01.2021 Abha Abha 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD
09.09.2020 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 2-1 HT 1-0 Abha Abha SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Faisaly
2-2
AWAY Abha
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Al Faisaly vs Abha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Faisaly and Abha couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Faisaly had 42% of the ball to Abha's 58%, shots finished 9-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Faisaly had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Faisaly and 1.00 for Abha.

What was the final score of Al Faisaly vs Abha?

Al Faisaly 2-2 Abha in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 18/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Faisaly vs Abha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Faisaly win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Al Faisaly 35%, draw 30%, Abha 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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