Al Ahli 1-0 Sepahan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 18 Feb 2026

Al Ahli
1-0 HT 0-0
Sepahan
📅18/02/2026 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
AFCŞL2 – 2025/2026

Al Ahli vs Sepahan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.63
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.93
6+ Goals
7%
18.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.98
1/2
5%
28.0
1/X
4%
14.0
X/1
12%
6.51
X/2
17%
4.78
X/X
13%
4.21
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
17%
3.1
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.4
Value flag · 2/X at 13.4 — our 10% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+4.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.3pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Ahli v Sepahan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Sepahan EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -60% / -60%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
– Crosses 13.0
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Al Ahli vs Sepahan Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sepahan
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.68 xG 0.91
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
325 Passes 477
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.02.2026 Sepahan Sepahan 2-2 HT 2-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli AFCŞL2
POST-MATCH Al Ahli vs Sepahan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli squeezed past Sepahan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Al Ahli found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Al Ahli vs Sepahan?

Al Ahli 1-0 Sepahan in the AFCŞL2 on 18/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli vs Sepahan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sepahan win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli 34%, draw 26%, Sepahan 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sepahan), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sepahan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AFCŞL2 More AFCŞL2
18 Feb 2026
15:15 Tampines Rovers vs Cong An Nhan Dan Analysis →
15:15 Persib Bandung vs Ratchaburi Analysis →
21:15 Al Nassr vs Arkadag Analysis →