Al Nassr vs Arkadag Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Nassr v Arkadag — Team-Based Signals
Al Nassr vs Arkadag Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Al Nassr 1-0 Arkadag — Actual Match Statistics
Al Nassr squeezed past Arkadag 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Al Nassr had 79% of the ball to Arkadag's 21%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 2.34 to 0.84 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Nassr's control.
What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Arkadag?
Al Nassr 1-0 Arkadag in the AFCŞL2 on 18/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Arkadag?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 72%, draw 17%, Arkadag 11%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.