Luis Angel Firpo 3-1 Platense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 18 Mar 2024

📅18/03/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.3pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Platense EU Bookmakers 28%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.50/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.31
+5% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +0%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
379 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luis Angel Firpo
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Platense
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
13.11.2023 Platense Platense 1-3 HT 0-2 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
18.09.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 2-1 HT 1-1 Platense Platense ELSAL
30.03.2023 Platense Platense 1-1 HT 1-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
02.02.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 3-1 HT 2-0 Platense Platense ELSAL
24.10.2022 Platense Platense 1-0 HT 0-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
14.04.2022 Platense Platense 1-2 HT 1-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
POST-MATCH Luis Angel Firpo vs Platense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luis Angel Firpo beat Platense 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Luis Angel Firpo as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luis Angel Firpo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Luis Angel Firpo and 1.00 for Platense.

What was the final score of Luis Angel Firpo vs Platense?

Luis Angel Firpo 3-1 Platense in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 18/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luis Angel Firpo vs Platense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luis Angel Firpo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Luis Angel Firpo 48%, draw 26%, Platense 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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