Once Deportivo 1-1 Fuerte San Francisco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 18 Mar 2024

📅18/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.5pp
34%
Draw
29%
+4.9pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-3.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Once Deportivo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.99/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.35
-24% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
375 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Once Deportivo
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 HT 0-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
21.08.2023 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 1-0 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
POST-MATCH Once Deportivo vs Fuerte San Francisco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Once Deportivo and Fuerte San Francisco couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Once Deportivo at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Once Deportivo and 0.50 for Fuerte San Francisco.

What was the final score of Once Deportivo vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Once Deportivo 1-1 Fuerte San Francisco in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 18/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Once Deportivo vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Once Deportivo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Once Deportivo 41%, draw 34%, Fuerte San Francisco 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Once Deportivo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Once Deportivo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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