Sunderland U21 2-3 Newcastle United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 18 Mar 2024

📅18/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.64
Draw
26%
4.49
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.68
Over 2.5
59%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.32
No
44%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
56%
-16.1pp
26%
Draw
19%
+7.1pp
34%
Away Win
25%
+9.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
24%
+17.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
76%
-17.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
72%
-15.1pp
44%
BTTS No
28%
+15.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunderland U21 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle United U21 EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
417 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sunderland U21
2-3
AWAY Newcastle United U21
2.32 xG 1.16
74% Ball Possession 26%
17 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
575 Passes 154
87% Pass Accuracy 63%
24 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sunderland U21 vs Newcastle United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle United U21 edged past Sunderland U21 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Newcastle United U21 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Sunderland U21 had 74% of the ball to Newcastle United U21's 26%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 2.32 to 1.16 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sunderland U21.

What was the final score of Sunderland U21 vs Newcastle United U21?

Sunderland U21 2-3 Newcastle United U21 in the INGPL2 on 18/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunderland U21 vs Newcastle United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sunderland U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sunderland U21 40%, draw 26%, Newcastle United U21 34%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sunderland U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sunderland U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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