Valur 2-2 IR Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 18 Mar 2025

📅18/03/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.28
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Valur win — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
74%
-12.4pp
20%
Draw
15%
+5.8pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+6.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
24%
+17.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
76%
-17.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.3pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valur EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY IR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +79% / +79%
3.48/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.29
+24% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +150%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
466 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valur
1W-0D-0L
AWAY IR Reykjavik
6.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
01.03.2024 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik 3-6 HT 2-2 Valur Valur İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valur
2-2
AWAY IR Reykjavik
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valur vs IR Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valur and IR Reykjavik couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Valur at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Valur had 56% of the ball to IR Reykjavik's 44%, shots finished 12-15.

What was the final score of Valur vs IR Reykjavik?

Valur 2-2 IR Reykjavik in the Iceland - League Cup on 18/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valur vs IR Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Valur 62%, draw 20%, IR Reykjavik 18%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Valur) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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