Tecnico Universitario 0-1 Barcelona SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 18 Mar 2025

📅18/03/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.71
Over 2.5
58%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.82
No
39%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
55%
-12.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
45%
+12.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
51%
+9.7pp
39%
BTTS No
49%
-9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 39%
+6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.45/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.19
+10% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
264 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 76%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
18.3 Crosses 16.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tecnico Universitario
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Barcelona SC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.31 xG 1.20
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
254 Passes 284
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 2-2 HT 1-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
26.05.2024 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 3-0 HT 2-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
02.10.2023 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
30.04.2023 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 2-2 HT 1-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
17.07.2022 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 0-2 HT 0-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
27.02.2022 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-0 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tecnico Universitario
0-1
AWAY Barcelona SC
1.41 xG 0.49
57% Ball Possession 43%
28 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
342 Passes 251
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
31 Box Touches 6
33 Crosses 6
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tecnico Universitario vs Barcelona SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona SC squeezed past Tecnico Universitario 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Barcelona SC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tecnico Universitario had 57% of the ball to Barcelona SC's 43%, shots finished 28-7, expected goals 1.41 to 0.49 — on chances, Tecnico Universitario could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona SC led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tecnico Universitario and 1.83 for Barcelona SC.

What was the final score of Tecnico Universitario vs Barcelona SC?

Tecnico Universitario 0-1 Barcelona SC in the Ecuador - Premier on 18/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tecnico Universitario vs Barcelona SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tecnico Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tecnico Universitario 39%, draw 28%, Barcelona SC 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tecnico Universitario) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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