Tecnico Universitario 2-2 Barcelona SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 23 Nov 2024

Tecnico Universitario
2-2 HT 1-1
Barcelona SC
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Tecnico Universitario vs Barcelona SC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.0pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tecnico Universitario v Barcelona SC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.29/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.20
+4% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
271 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
17.7 Crosses 17.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1

Tecnico Universitario vs Barcelona SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tecnico Universitario
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Barcelona SC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.87 xG 1.13
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
235 Passes 306
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.05.2024 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 3-0 HT 2-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
02.10.2023 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
30.04.2023 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 2-2 HT 1-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
17.07.2022 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 0-2 HT 0-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
27.02.2022 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-0 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
01.08.2021 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-2 HT 0-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1

Tecnico Universitario 2-2 Barcelona SC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tecnico Universitario
2-2
AWAY Barcelona SC
2.77 xG 2.04
53% Ball Possession 47%
21 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
276 Passes 233
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tecnico Universitario vs Barcelona SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tecnico Universitario and Barcelona SC shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Tecnico Universitario at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Tecnico Universitario had 53% of the ball to Barcelona SC's 47%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 2.77 to 2.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona SC led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tecnico Universitario and 1.83 for Barcelona SC.

What was the final score of Tecnico Universitario vs Barcelona SC?

Tecnico Universitario 2-2 Barcelona SC in the Ecuador - Premier on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tecnico Universitario vs Barcelona SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tecnico Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tecnico Universitario 42%, draw 27%, Barcelona SC 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tecnico Universitario), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tecnico Universitario) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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