Cumbaya 2-2 Orense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.7pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.3pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.2pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cumbaya EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Orense EU Bookmakers 39%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.74/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/0.98
-24% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +51%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 78%
12.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
14.8 Crosses 13.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cumbaya
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Orense
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
0.44 xG 1.26
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
233 Passes 324
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.05.2024 Orense Orense 1-0 HT 0-0 Cumbaya Cumbaya EKV1
05.11.2023 Cumbaya Cumbaya 0-1 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
27.05.2023 Orense Orense 1-0 HT 0-0 Cumbaya Cumbaya EKV1
23.07.2022 Orense Orense 3-1 HT 0-1 Cumbaya Cumbaya EKV1
06.03.2022 Cumbaya Cumbaya 1-1 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cumbaya
2-2
AWAY Orense
0.57 xG 2.04
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 2
246 Passes 316
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
9 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cumbaya vs Orense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cumbaya and Orense couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cumbaya had 44% of the ball to Orense's 56%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 0.57 to 2.04.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Orense led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Cumbaya and 1.40 for Orense.

What was the final score of Cumbaya vs Orense?

Cumbaya 2-2 Orense in the Ecuador - Premier on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cumbaya vs Orense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cumbaya win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Cumbaya 37%, draw 29%, Orense 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cumbaya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EKV1 More Ecuador - Premier
23 Nov 2024
23:30 Tecnico Universitario vs Barcelona SC Analysis →
23:30 Deportivo Cuenca vs Libertad Analysis →
23:30 Emelec vs Imbabura Analysis →