Emelec 2-2 Imbabura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.6pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emelec EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Imbabura EU Bookmakers 27%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
1.16/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.13
-36% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / -48%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
22.7 Crosses 14.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emelec
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Imbabura
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.41 xG 1.41
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 7
209 Passes 326
71% Pass Accuracy 86%
5 Box Touches 18
6 Crosses 36
4 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2024 Imbabura Imbabura 1-2 HT 1-1 Emelec Emelec EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emelec
2-2
AWAY Imbabura
1.07 xG 0.68
66% Ball Possession 34%
26 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 8
10 Corners 6
352 Passes 156
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
27 Box Touches 10
30 Crosses 6
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Emelec vs Imbabura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emelec and Imbabura couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Emelec at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Emelec had 66% of the ball to Imbabura's 34%, shots finished 26-11, expected goals 1.07 to 0.68.

What was the final score of Emelec vs Imbabura?

Emelec 2-2 Imbabura in the Ecuador - Premier on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emelec vs Imbabura?

Before kick-off our model rated a Emelec win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Emelec 47%, draw 27%, Imbabura 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Emelec) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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