Kongsvinger 1-1 HamKam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 18 Mar 2025

📅18/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.1
Over 2.5
59%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.43
No
54%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+7.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-6.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
66%
-19.4pp
54%
BTTS No
34%
+19.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kongsvinger EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY HamKam EU Bookmakers 49%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-35% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
345 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kongsvinger
3W-0D-3L
AWAY HamKam
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
25.09.2020 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 1-2 HT 1-2 HamKam HamKam NOR1
03.07.2020 HamKam HamKam 2-3 HT 1-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
19.10.2019 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 2-1 HT 1-0 HamKam HamKam NOR1
16.05.2019 HamKam HamKam 2-0 HT 1-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
12.08.2018 HamKam HamKam 3-1 HT 1-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
16.05.2018 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 2-1 HT 1-0 HamKam HamKam NOR1
POST-MATCH Kongsvinger vs HamKam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kongsvinger and HamKam shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 23% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kongsvinger and 1.83 for HamKam.

What was the final score of Kongsvinger vs HamKam?

Kongsvinger 1-1 HamKam in the Friendlies on 18/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kongsvinger vs HamKam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kongsvinger win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kongsvinger 39%, draw 23%, HamKam 38%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kongsvinger) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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