18/03/2025
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
1-3
Gefle vs IK Sirius Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Over 2.5 — 64% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Away Win
BTTS Yes
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
19%
19%
Draw
20%
54%
Away Win
61%
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
42%
BTTS No
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gefle v IK Sirius — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Gefle
EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY
IK Sirius
EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
44%
Ball Possession
56%
8
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
5
326 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
428 · 85%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Gefle vs IK Sirius Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Gefle
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
IK Sirius
4.00
Avg Goals (FT)
5.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Gefle vs IK Sirius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
IK Sirius nicked a narrow win over Gefle 1-0 away from home.
Just as the model leaned, our model had IK Sirius as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Gefle vs IK Sirius?
Gefle 0-1 IK Sirius in the Friendlies on 18/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gefle vs IK Sirius?
Before kick-off our model rated an IK Sirius win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Gefle 26%, draw 19%, IK Sirius 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IK Sirius) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (IK Sirius)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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HAZ
More Friendlies
18 Mar 2025