Ried 1-2 LASK Linz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - ÖFB Cup, 18 Mar 2026

Ried
1-2 HT 0-0
LASK Linz
📅18/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Austria - ÖFB Cup – 2025/2026

Ried vs LASK Linz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
49%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.75
Over 2.5
60%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.81
No
37%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2.85
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.8
6+ Goals
12%
17.05
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.8 — our 27% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.9
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
27.5
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
13%
6.6
X/2
14%
4.92
X/X
10%
4.28
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
24%
3.1
2/X
6%
12.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.5 — our 11% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS Yes — 63% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.1pp
22%
Draw
28%
-5.4pp
49%
Away Win
42%
+6.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
53%
-13.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
47%
+13.0pp
63%
BTTS Yes
51%
+12.2pp
37%
BTTS No
49%
-12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ried v LASK Linz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ried EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY LASK Linz EU Bookmakers 46%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -56% / -56%
2.94/0.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/5.00
+41% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -64%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
238 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Ried vs LASK Linz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ried
2W-4D-0L
AWAY LASK Linz
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.80 xG 1.43
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
224 Passes 335
68% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.02.2026 Ried Ried 1-1 HT 1-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
30.08.2025 LASK Linz LASK Linz 1-3 HT 0-2 Ried Ried AVU
18.02.2023 Ried Ried 1-1 HT 1-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
04.09.2022 LASK Linz LASK Linz 1-1 HT 1-0 Ried Ried AVU
14.05.2022 Ried Ried 1-1 HT 1-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
02.04.2022 LASK Linz LASK Linz 0-2 HT 0-2 Ried Ried AVU

Ried 1-2 LASK Linz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ried
1-2
AWAY LASK Linz
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
16 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ried vs LASK Linz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LASK Linz nicked a narrow win over Ried 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had LASK Linz as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ried had 57% of the ball to LASK Linz's 43%, shots finished 19-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ried had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ried and 0.83 for LASK Linz.

What was the final score of Ried vs LASK Linz?

Ried 1-2 LASK Linz in the Austria - ÖFB Cup on 18/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ried vs LASK Linz?

Before kick-off our model rated an LASK Linz win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ried 29%, draw 22%, LASK Linz 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LASK Linz), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (LASK Linz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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