LASK Linz 1-3 Ried — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 30 Aug 2025

LASK Linz
1-3 HT 0-2
Ried
📅30/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

LASK Linz vs Ried Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
3.67
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.29
6+ Goals
9%
11.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.71
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
7%
12.4
X/1
20%
4.82
X/2
10%
7.41
X/X
9%
4.83
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
23.2
2/2
12%
5.28
2/X
7%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.2 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
47%
+1.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.7pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

LASK Linz v Ried — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LASK Linz EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Ried EU Bookmakers 30%
-12% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
1.42/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.54
+2% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
20.9 Crosses 13.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.4

LASK Linz vs Ried Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LASK Linz
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Ried
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.44 xG 1.49
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
365 Passes 234
77% Pass Accuracy 65%
22 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.02.2023 Ried Ried 1-1 HT 1-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
04.09.2022 LASK Linz LASK Linz 1-1 HT 1-0 Ried Ried AVU
14.05.2022 Ried Ried 1-1 HT 1-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
02.04.2022 LASK Linz LASK Linz 0-2 HT 0-2 Ried Ried AVU
05.12.2021 LASK Linz LASK Linz 1-0 HT 1-0 Ried Ried AVU
29.08.2021 Ried Ried 1-0 HT 1-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU

LASK Linz 1-3 Ried — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LASK Linz
1-3
AWAY Ried
2.10 xG 2.37
57% Ball Possession 43%
21 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
323 Passes 209
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
34 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 13
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH LASK Linz vs Ried
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ried saw off LASK Linz 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was LASK Linz at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, LASK Linz had 57% of the ball to Ried's 43%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 2.10 to 2.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ried led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for LASK Linz and 1.00 for Ried.

What was the final score of LASK Linz vs Ried?

LASK Linz 1-3 Ried in the Austria - Bundesliga on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LASK Linz vs Ried?

Before kick-off our model rated a LASK Linz win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split LASK Linz 49%, draw 23%, Ried 28%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (LASK Linz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (LASK Linz) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVU More Austria - Bundesliga
30 Aug 2025
18:00 Salzburg vs Blau-Weiss Linz Analysis →
20:30 Grazer AK vs Sturm Graz Analysis →