Salzburg 2-2 Blau-Weiss Linz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.33
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
10%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.69
2-3 Goals
41%
1.94
4-5 Goals
26%
2.85
6+ Goals
13%
7.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.52
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
3%
19.35
X/1
19%
3.79
X/2
4%
17.35
X/X
10%
7.45
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.2
2/2
3%
14.65
2/X
5%
22.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.2 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
71%
+1.4pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.1pp
10%
Away Win
11%
-1.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salzburg EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
2.55/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.79
+29% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +28%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
378 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 70%
33.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
20.5 Crosses 12.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salzburg
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.65 xG 0.70
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
573 Passes 161
86% Pass Accuracy 62%
34 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.05.2025 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 1-2 HT 1-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
06.04.2025 Salzburg Salzburg 2-1 HT 0-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AVU
10.11.2024 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 2-0 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
10.08.2024 Salzburg Salzburg 5-1 HT 2-1 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AVU
17.02.2024 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 1-1 HT 1-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
23.09.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salzburg
2-2
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz
2.48 xG 1.34
74% Ball Possession 26%
21 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
583 Passes 151
86% Pass Accuracy 63%
34 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Salzburg vs Blau-Weiss Linz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salzburg and Blau-Weiss Linz shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Salzburg at 72% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Salzburg had 74% of the ball to Blau-Weiss Linz's 26%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 2.48 to 1.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salzburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Salzburg and 1.17 for Blau-Weiss Linz.

What was the final score of Salzburg vs Blau-Weiss Linz?

Salzburg 2-2 Blau-Weiss Linz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salzburg vs Blau-Weiss Linz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Salzburg 72%, draw 18%, Blau-Weiss Linz 10%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Salzburg), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salzburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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