Salzburg 2-1 Blau-Weiss Linz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
22%
3.93
2-3 Goals
45%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
3.26
6+ Goals
9%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.93 — our 22% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.02
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
15.3
X/1
14%
4.14
X/2
7%
10.8
X/X
15%
5.83
2/1
9%
21.85
2/2
6%
8.59
2/X
8%
17.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
59%
-8.3pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.4pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salzburg EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
2.14/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.60
+2% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
402 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 67%
33.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
19.0 Crosses 15.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salzburg
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
2.08 xG 0.70
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
655 Passes 136
89% Pass Accuracy 60%
40 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 2-0 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
10.08.2024 Salzburg Salzburg 5-1 HT 2-1 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AVU
17.02.2024 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 1-1 HT 1-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
23.09.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AVU
22.01.2019 Salzburg Salzburg 3-2 HT 1-1 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salzburg
2-1
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz
1.14 xG 0.40
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
14 Corners 1
378 Passes 207
77% Pass Accuracy 63%
22 Box Touches 6
36 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Salzburg vs Blau-Weiss Linz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salzburg squeezed past Blau-Weiss Linz 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Salzburg as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Salzburg had 60% of the ball to Blau-Weiss Linz's 40%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 1.14 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Salzburg and 1.40 for Blau-Weiss Linz.

What was the final score of Salzburg vs Blau-Weiss Linz?

Salzburg 2-1 Blau-Weiss Linz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salzburg vs Blau-Weiss Linz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Salzburg 51%, draw 29%, Blau-Weiss Linz 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salzburg), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Salzburg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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