Blau-Weiss Linz 2-0 Salzburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.48
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
46%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.18
Over 2.5
44%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.7
No
57%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
4.33
2-3 Goals
35%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.97
6+ Goals
10%
8.92
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.33 — our 32% vs market 18.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
7.95
1/2
8%
21.15
1/X
7%
15.95
X/1
12%
10.85
X/2
17%
3.93
X/X
12%
5.99
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
21%
1.97
2/X
7%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
19%
+9.6pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.2pp
46%
Away Win
58%
-12.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
42%
+13.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
58%
-13.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
55%
-11.6pp
57%
BTTS No
45%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blau-Weiss Linz EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Salzburg EU Bookmakers 62%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.50/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/0.96
+22% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -4%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
218 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
15.2 Crosses 18.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blau-Weiss Linz
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Salzburg
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
0.44 xG 2.94
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
130 Passes 630
58% Pass Accuracy 88%
8 Box Touches 47
5 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.08.2024 Salzburg Salzburg 5-1 HT 2-1 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AVU
17.02.2024 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 1-1 HT 1-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
23.09.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AVU
22.01.2019 Salzburg Salzburg 3-2 HT 1-1 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blau-Weiss Linz
2-0
AWAY Salzburg
1.23 xG 0.34
24% Ball Possession 76%
14 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 3
148 Passes 706
63% Pass Accuracy 89%
18 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Blau-Weiss Linz vs Salzburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blau-Weiss Linz beat Salzburg 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Salzburg at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Blau-Weiss Linz had 24% of the ball to Salzburg's 76%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 1.23 to 0.34.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Salzburg led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Blau-Weiss Linz and 2.25 for Salzburg.

What was the final score of Blau-Weiss Linz vs Salzburg?

Blau-Weiss Linz 2-0 Salzburg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blau-Weiss Linz vs Salzburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Blau-Weiss Linz 29%, draw 25%, Salzburg 46%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Salzburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salzburg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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