Tiverton Town 2-0 Winchester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 18 Apr 2024

📅18/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.02
Draw
32%
3.72
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
46%
-14.9pp
33%
Draw
24%
+9.1pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+5.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.0pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tiverton Town EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Winchester City EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.49/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/1.94
-10% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
304 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tiverton Town
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Winchester City
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
30.01.2024 Winchester City Winchester City 2-1 HT 0-1 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
30.09.2023 Winchester City Winchester City 0-0 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
22.04.2023 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town 2-4 HT 2-1 Winchester City Winchester City İNGNLP
05.11.2022 Winchester City Winchester City 1-2 HT 0-0 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Tiverton Town vs Winchester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tiverton Town got the better of Winchester City 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 33% / 37%) promised a tight game; Tiverton Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Winchester City led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Tiverton Town and 1.75 for Winchester City.

What was the final score of Tiverton Town vs Winchester City?

Tiverton Town 2-0 Winchester City in the England - Non League Premier on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tiverton Town vs Winchester City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Winchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tiverton Town 31%, draw 33%, Winchester City 37%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Winchester City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
18 Apr 2024
21:45 Hanwell Town vs Plymouth Parkway Analysis →