Winchester City 2-1 Tiverton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 30 Jan 2024

📅30/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.33
Over 2.5
46%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.6pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.5pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
39%
+14.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
61%
-14.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.4pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Winchester City EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Tiverton Town EU Bookmakers 33%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
0.98/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.77
-42% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
350 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Winchester City
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Tiverton Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
30.09.2023 Winchester City Winchester City 0-0 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
22.04.2023 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town 2-4 HT 2-1 Winchester City Winchester City İNGNLP
05.11.2022 Winchester City Winchester City 1-2 HT 0-0 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Winchester City vs Tiverton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Winchester City squeezed past Tiverton Town 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Winchester City made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Winchester City and 1.33 for Tiverton Town.

What was the final score of Winchester City vs Tiverton Town?

Winchester City 2-1 Tiverton Town in the England - Non League Premier on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Winchester City vs Tiverton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Winchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Winchester City 38%, draw 31%, Tiverton Town 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Winchester City), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Winchester City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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