Leiston 4-1 Long Eaton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 30 Jan 2024

📅30/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.28
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.89
Over 2.5
61%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.76
No
43%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
3%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
74%
-5.3pp
18%
Draw
16%
+2.2pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+3.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
31%
+7.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
69%
-7.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.5pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiston EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Long Eaton United EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.35/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/3.02
+5% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -29%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
432 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 0.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leiston
4-1
AWAY Long Eaton United
60% Ball Possession 40%
24 Total Shots 3
12 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Leiston vs Long Eaton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leiston swept aside Long Eaton United 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Leiston as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Leiston had 60% of the ball to Long Eaton United's 40%, shots finished 24-3.

What was the final score of Leiston vs Long Eaton United?

Leiston 4-1 Long Eaton United in the England - Non League Premier on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiston vs Long Eaton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leiston win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Leiston 68%, draw 18%, Long Eaton United 14%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leiston), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leiston) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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