Alvechurch 1-0 Royston Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 30 Jan 2024

Alvechurch
1-0
Royston Town
📅30/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2023/2024

Alvechurch vs Royston Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.4pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alvechurch v Royston Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Royston Town EU Bookmakers 43%
+22% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -23%
2.02/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.67
+35% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -10%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
276 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.8

Alvechurch vs Royston Town Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alvechurch
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Royston Town
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
The Meetings
09.09.2023 Royston Town Royston Town 4-1 HT 2-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
20.04.2023 Alvechurch Alvechurch 2-1 HT 1-0 Royston Town Royston Town İNGNLP
11.03.2023 Royston Town Royston Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
23.04.2022 Alvechurch Alvechurch 3-1 HT 1-1 Royston Town Royston Town İNGNLP
11.09.2021 Royston Town Royston Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Alvechurch vs Royston Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alvechurch edged past Royston Town 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Alvechurch found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Alvechurch and 1.40 for Royston Town.

What was the final score of Alvechurch vs Royston Town?

Alvechurch 1-0 Royston Town in the England - Non League Premier on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alvechurch vs Royston Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alvechurch win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alvechurch 38%, draw 26%, Royston Town 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alvechurch), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alvechurch) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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