Al Najma 2-2 Sitra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 18 Apr 2024

📅18/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
36%
3.64
Away
28%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
23%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.2pp
36%
Draw
24%
+11.8pp
28%
Away Win
36%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najma EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sitra EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.80/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/1.48
+29% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +84% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
315 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Najma
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Sitra
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
24.01.2024 Sitra Sitra 1-4 HT 0-0 Al Najma Al Najma BAHK
29.10.2023 Sitra Sitra 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
POST-MATCH Al Najma vs Sitra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Najma and Sitra couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 36% / 28%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Najma had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Al Najma and 1.00 for Sitra.

What was the final score of Al Najma vs Sitra?

Al Najma 2-2 Sitra in the Bahrain - Premier League on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najma vs Sitra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Najma win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Al Najma 36%, draw 36%, Sitra 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/36/28) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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