Sitra 1-4 Al Najma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Cup, 24 Jan 2024

Sitra
1-4 HT 0-0
Al Najma
📅24/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Bahrain - Cup – 2023/2024

Sitra vs Al Najma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.73
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.05
6+ Goals
10%
10.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 28% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
35%
-5.4pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.3pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.4pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sitra v Al Najma — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sitra EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Najma EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -60% / -60%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -56%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Sitra vs Al Najma Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sitra
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Najma
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Sitra Sitra 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
POST-MATCH Sitra vs Al Najma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Najma swept aside Sitra 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 31% / 40% — and on the day Al Najma made the difference. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

What was the final score of Sitra vs Al Najma?

Sitra 1-4 Al Najma in the Bahrain - Cup on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sitra vs Al Najma?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Najma win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sitra 30%, draw 31%, Al Najma 40%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Najma), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Najma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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