Al Ittihad 1-2 Al Riffa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Cup, 24 Jan 2024

📅24/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.91
Draw
33%
4.19
Away
42%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.03
Over 2.5
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.95
No
39%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.61
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.12
6+ Goals
10%
10.8
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.12 — our 27% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
14%
+10.8pp
33%
Draw
20%
+12.8pp
42%
Away Win
66%
-23.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
45%
-3.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
55%
+3.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
47%
+13.9pp
39%
BTTS No
53%
-13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ittihad EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riffa EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -63%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
261 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ittihad
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Riffa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.11.2022 Al Ittihad Al Ittihad 1-3 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAHK
21.03.2022 Al Riffa Al Riffa 2-2 Al Ittihad Al Ittihad BAHFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ittihad
1-2
AWAY Al Riffa
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ittihad vs Al Riffa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Riffa nicked a narrow win over Al Ittihad 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Riffa as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Al Ittihad had 41% of the ball to Al Riffa's 59%, shots finished 10-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Riffa led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Ittihad and 2.50 for Al Riffa.

What was the final score of Al Ittihad vs Al Riffa?

Al Ittihad 1-2 Al Riffa in the Bahrain - Cup on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ittihad vs Al Riffa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Riffa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Ittihad 24%, draw 33%, Al Riffa 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Riffa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Riffa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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