Grobina vs Liepaja Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Grobina v Liepaja — Team-Based Signals
Grobina vs Liepaja Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Liepaja
LETK
Grobina 3-2 Liepaja — Actual Match Statistics
Grobina edged past Liepaja 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Liepaja at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Grobina had 47% of the ball to Liepaja's 53%, shots finished 8-6, expected goals 2.88 to 0.61 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Grobina's control.
What was the final score of Grobina vs Liepaja?
Grobina 3-2 Liepaja in the Latvia - Virsliga on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Grobina vs Liepaja?
Before kick-off our model rated an Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Grobina 33%, draw 24%, Liepaja 43%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.