CA La Paz 2-3 Mineros de Zacatecas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 18 Apr 2024

📅18/04/2024 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.07
Over 2.5
45%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-0.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
45%
Away Win
45%
-0.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.9pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA La Paz EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas EU Bookmakers 49%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.48/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.15
+28% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
279 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA La Paz
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
08.03.2024 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 3-0 HT 3-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
16.10.2023 CA La Paz CA La Paz 1-4 HT 1-3 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
05.01.2023 CA La Paz CA La Paz 2-0 HT 0-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
17.08.2022 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 2-1 HT 1-1 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
POST-MATCH CA La Paz vs Mineros de Zacatecas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mineros de Zacatecas nicked a narrow win over CA La Paz 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mineros de Zacatecas as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Mineros de Zacatecas led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CA La Paz and 2.25 for Mineros de Zacatecas.

What was the final score of CA La Paz vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

CA La Paz 2-3 Mineros de Zacatecas in the Mexico - Primera A on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA La Paz vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mineros de Zacatecas win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split CA La Paz 29%, draw 26%, Mineros de Zacatecas 45%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK2 More Mexico - Primera A
18 Apr 2024
04:00 Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Cimarrones de Sonora Analysis →