Maroons 3-0 Busoga United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 18 Apr 2024

📅18/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
30%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.6
Over 2.5
51%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
57%
-14.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
30%
Away Win
18%
+12.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.3pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maroons EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Busoga United EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
293 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maroons
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Busoga United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
06.12.2023 Busoga United Busoga United 1-1 HT 0-0 Maroons Maroons UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maroons
3-0
AWAY Busoga United
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maroons vs Busoga United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maroons cruised past Busoga United 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Maroons as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Maroons had 61% of the ball to Busoga United's 39%, shots finished 12-3.

What was the final score of Maroons vs Busoga United?

Maroons 3-0 Busoga United in the Uganda - Premier League on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maroons vs Busoga United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maroons win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Maroons 43%, draw 27%, Busoga United 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maroons), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maroons) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UGA More Uganda - Premier League
18 Apr 2024
19:00 Kampala City vs Mbarara City Analysis →