Tamworth 1-2 Solihull Moors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.35
6+ Goals
9%
12.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 32% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.5
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
14%
4.48
X/2
11%
8.23
X/X
13%
5.03
2/1
7%
23.75
2/2
12%
6.34
2/X
6%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-5.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.2pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tamworth EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Solihull Moors EU Bookmakers 28%
+13% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
2.80/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.53
+74% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
90 · 96% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 74 · 95%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tamworth
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Solihull Moors
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
0 Passes 2
31.12.2024 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 2-0 HT 1-0 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
10.07.2018 Tamworth Tamworth 0-3 HT 0-2 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors HAZ
22.07.2017 Tamworth Tamworth 1-1 HT 1-1 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors HAZ
17.10.2015 Tamworth Tamworth 1-1 HT 1-1 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İCON
01.01.2015 Tamworth Tamworth 3-1 HT 0-0 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tamworth
1-2
AWAY Solihull Moors
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 1
1 Passes 1
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Tamworth vs Solihull Moors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Solihull Moors edged past Tamworth 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Tamworth at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tamworth had 53% of the ball to Solihull Moors's 47%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Solihull Moors led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tamworth and 1.60 for Solihull Moors.

What was the final score of Tamworth vs Solihull Moors?

Tamworth 1-2 Solihull Moors in the England - National League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tamworth vs Solihull Moors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tamworth win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Tamworth 45%, draw 26%, Solihull Moors 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tamworth) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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