Gateshead 1-3 York City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
2.96
6+ Goals
10%
9.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.92 — our 29% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.31
1/2
7%
23.75
1/X
5%
13.0
X/1
9%
6.62
X/2
17%
5.4
X/X
11%
5.27
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
19%
3.16
2/X
10%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.4pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gateshead EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY York City EU Bookmakers 45%
-7% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
0.92/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/0.79
-32% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +62%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
69 · 96% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 63 · 93%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gateshead
1W-3D-2L
AWAY York City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
0 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.01.2025 York City York City 1-0 HT 1-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
01.01.2024 York City York City 2-0 HT 1-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
26.12.2023 Gateshead Gateshead 1-1 HT 0-1 York City York City İBSL
02.01.2023 Gateshead Gateshead 2-2 HT 2-1 York City York City İBSL
26.12.2022 York City York City 0-3 HT 0-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
29.01.2022 York City York City 1-1 HT 0-0 Gateshead Gateshead İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gateshead
1-3
AWAY York City
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
0 Passes 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gateshead vs York City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York City saw off Gateshead 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had York City as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Gateshead had 46% of the ball to York City's 54%, shots finished 12-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, York City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gateshead and 1.17 for York City.

What was the final score of Gateshead vs York City?

Gateshead 1-3 York City in the England - National League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gateshead vs York City?

Before kick-off our model rated an York City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gateshead 31%, draw 27%, York City 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (York City), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (York City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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