York City vs Gateshead Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
York City v Gateshead — Team-Based Signals
York City vs Gateshead Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
York City
İBSL
2-2
HT 2-1
York City
İBSL
0-3
HT 0-1
Gateshead
İBSL
1-1
HT 0-0
Gateshead
İCON
2-0
HT 1-0
York City
İCON
1-3
HT 1-2
Gateshead
İBSL
York City 2-0 Gateshead — Actual Match Statistics
York City got the better of Gateshead 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Gateshead at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, York City had 31% of the ball to Gateshead's 69%, shots finished 10-17.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gateshead led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for York City and 2.00 for Gateshead.
What was the final score of York City vs Gateshead?
York City 2-0 Gateshead in the England - National League on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for York City vs Gateshead?
Before kick-off our model rated an Gateshead win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split York City 24%, draw 23%, Gateshead 54%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.