Oxford City 1-2 Dorking Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 1 Jan 2024

📅01/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
2.86
6+ Goals
13%
8.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.42 — our 25% vs market 17.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.0
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
8%
12.2
X/1
13%
5.21
X/2
12%
6.6
X/X
10%
5.21
2/1
7%
23.45
2/2
15%
4.18
2/X
8%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.9pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oxford City EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oxford City
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2023 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-0 Oxford City Oxford City İBSL
01.02.2022 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Oxford City Oxford City İCON
14.12.2021 Oxford City Oxford City 2-4 HT 1-3 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
24.11.2020 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 3-2 HT 0-1 Oxford City Oxford City İCON
18.02.2020 Oxford City Oxford City 2-1 HT 1-1 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
29.10.2019 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-0 Oxford City Oxford City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oxford City
1-2
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Oxford City vs Dorking Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorking Wanderers squeezed past Oxford City 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Oxford City at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Oxford City had 47% of the ball to Dorking Wanderers's 53%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Oxford City and 1.50 for Dorking Wanderers.

What was the final score of Oxford City vs Dorking Wanderers?

Oxford City 1-2 Dorking Wanderers in the England - National League on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oxford City vs Dorking Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oxford City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Oxford City 41%, draw 26%, Dorking Wanderers 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Oxford City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oxford City) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
1 Jan 2024
18:00 Halifax Town vs Altrincham Analysis →
18:00 AFC Fylde vs Rochdale Analysis →
18:00 Chesterfield vs Solihull Moors Analysis →
18:00 York City vs Gateshead Analysis →
18:00 Woking vs Aldershot Town Analysis →
18:00 Eastleigh vs Dagenham & Redbridge Analysis →