AFC Fylde 2-0 Rochdale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 1 Jan 2024

📅01/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.28
2-3 Goals
35%
1.85
4-5 Goals
27%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
8.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.13
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
12.7
X/1
16%
5.25
X/2
12%
6.2
X/X
9%
5.29
2/1
9%
23.85
2/2
14%
3.95
2/X
5%
12.8
Value flag · 1/X at 12.7 — our 12% vs market 4.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.2pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rochdale EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.69/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.64
+18% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Fylde
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Rochdale
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2023 Rochdale Rochdale 2-0 HT 1-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Fylde
2-0
AWAY Rochdale
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AFC Fylde vs Rochdale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Fylde beat Rochdale 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AFC Fylde as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, AFC Fylde had 52% of the ball to Rochdale's 48%, shots finished 20-3.

What was the final score of AFC Fylde vs Rochdale?

AFC Fylde 2-0 Rochdale in the England - National League on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Fylde vs Rochdale?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Fylde win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split AFC Fylde 41%, draw 26%, Rochdale 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Fylde) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Fylde) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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