Chesterfield 3-2 Solihull Moors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 1 Jan 2024

📅01/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.3
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.63
Over 2.5
58%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.66
2-3 Goals
35%
2.01
4-5 Goals
29%
2.57
6+ Goals
14%
5.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.51
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
21.2
X/1
19%
3.58
X/2
5%
18.1
X/X
12%
8.4
2/1 EV+ ✓
13%
20.25
2/2
8%
12.95
2/X
6%
20.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.25 — our 13% vs market 2.3%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
72%
-13.3pp
23%
Draw
17%
+6.0pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
34%
+8.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
66%
-8.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chesterfield EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Solihull Moors EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
2.43/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.66
+17% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +19%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chesterfield
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Solihull Moors
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2023 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 2-0 HT 2-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İBSL
18.02.2023 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 0-0 HT 0-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İBSL
19.11.2022 Chesterfield Chesterfield 2-0 HT 1-0 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
29.05.2022 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 3-1 HT 2-1 Chesterfield Chesterfield İBSL
19.02.2022 Chesterfield Chesterfield 2-3 HT 2-1 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
20.11.2021 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 0-2 HT 0-2 Chesterfield Chesterfield İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chesterfield
3-2
AWAY Solihull Moors
76% Ball Possession 24%
14 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 4
16 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chesterfield vs Solihull Moors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chesterfield nicked a narrow win over Solihull Moors 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chesterfield as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Chesterfield had 76% of the ball to Solihull Moors's 24%, shots finished 14-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Solihull Moors led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Chesterfield and 1.33 for Solihull Moors.

What was the final score of Chesterfield vs Solihull Moors?

Chesterfield 3-2 Solihull Moors in the England - National League on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chesterfield vs Solihull Moors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chesterfield win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Chesterfield 59%, draw 23%, Solihull Moors 18%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chesterfield), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chesterfield) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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