Barwell 0-2 Stourbridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
1.86
Over Pick
60%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
33%
4-5
29%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
50%
-9.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
50%
+9.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.4pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barwell EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Stourbridge EU Bookmakers 38%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.69/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.32
+12% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barwell
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Stourbridge
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.09.2024 Stourbridge Stourbridge 0-0 HT 0-0 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
16.12.2023 Barwell Barwell 3-1 HT 1-0 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
19.08.2023 Stourbridge Stourbridge 2-0 HT 2-0 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
14.01.2023 Barwell Barwell 1-1 HT 0-1 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
26.11.2022 Stourbridge Stourbridge 0-1 HT 0-0 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
19.03.2022 Stourbridge Stourbridge 1-1 HT 1-1 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barwell
0-2
AWAY Stourbridge
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barwell vs Stourbridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stourbridge saw off Barwell 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Stourbridge made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Barwell had 47% of the ball to Stourbridge's 53%, shots finished 8-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barwell had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Barwell and 0.83 for Stourbridge.

What was the final score of Barwell vs Stourbridge?

Barwell 0-2 Stourbridge in the England - Non League Premier on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barwell vs Stourbridge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barwell win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Barwell 39%, draw 26%, Stourbridge 36%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Barwell) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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